Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.132957 3.309285 3.496132 3.709892 3.948970 4.209675 4.517606
2025-04-27 2.909390 3.156557 3.432195 3.766118 4.165044 4.633645 5.237407
2025-05-04 2.763043 3.066942 3.421272 3.873596 4.449497 5.179816 6.216491
2025-05-11 2.607324 2.948052 3.360202 3.910610 4.653013 5.666657 7.259333
2025-05-18 2.452505 2.814323 3.265282 3.890874 4.778735 6.077698 8.340974
2025-05-25 2.278790 2.641851 3.103944 3.762777 4.734008 6.234091 9.087356
2025-06-01 2.156533 2.525329 3.004583 3.707149 4.784888 6.551427 10.279490
2025-06-08 2.058171 2.432401 2.928162 3.674307 4.864268 6.937312 11.852370
2025-06-15 1.986418 2.369385 2.886729 3.686918 5.017378 7.500238 14.312284
2025-06-22 1.894095 2.272536 2.790189 3.605236 4.998764 7.727939 16.117940
2025-06-29 1.799920 2.168033 2.675814 3.485077 4.895818 7.756153 17.364346
2025-07-06 1.728706 2.091745 2.597456 3.415017 4.873719 7.960612 19.640174
2025-07-13 1.685060 2.056438 2.583455 3.459244 5.095405 8.881215 28.081506
2025-07-20 1.646292 2.026090 2.575082 3.513273 5.353184 10.065528 47.589673
2025-07-27 1.619995 2.012169 2.590731 3.611327 5.731066 11.924145 157.225168
2025-08-03 1.581218 1.977763 2.571979 3.646566 5.985492 13.680467 NaN
2025-08-10 1.534930 1.929759 2.528296 3.631200 6.121138 15.184956 NaN
2025-08-17 1.473089 1.855668 2.438231 3.519577 5.996592 15.405944 NaN
2025-08-24 1.428030 1.805051 2.383613 3.471348 6.028167 16.544293 NaN
2025-08-31 1.389964 1.763393 2.341259 3.442964 6.108354 18.166289 NaN
2025-09-07 1.361842 1.735655 2.320227 3.454700 6.304675 21.084950 NaN
2025-09-14 1.320851 1.686440 2.260522 3.382533 6.244616 22.007242 NaN
2025-09-21 1.276235 1.630181 2.186535 3.275763 6.064609 21.658170 NaN